COVID-19
OUTBREAK & IMPACT MONITOR

Latest Data , Analysis and News

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

NOVEL CORONAVIRUS HIGHLIGHTS

Number of confirmed
cases

Activity remains mostly unchanged y/y (3.3% increase in the number of deals to 317, 0.4% decrease in value to EUR 22.56bn)

Number of confirmed
cases

Not only did Real Estate & Construction have the highest number of deals, it also was the biggest sector by value – with EUR 16.6bn

Number of confirmed
cases

Activity remains mostly unchanged y/y (3.3% increase in the number of deals to 317, 0.4% decrease in value to EUR 22.56bn)

Number of confirmed
cases

Not only did Real Estate & Construction have the highest number of deals, it also was the biggest sector by value – with EUR 16.6bn

COVID-19 OUTBREAK MAP + Daily Charts

Track the spread of the outbreak

 

Explore our interactive global map (updated daily) covering the number of confirmed cases, deaths, recovered patients and concentration of the virus.

 

Options to download charts and tables are available for CEIC clients and media partners only. 

CEIC Client Access  |   Request Media Access

Key Charts on COVID-19

Release Date: May 20th, 2020

 

India begins lockdown 4.0

On May 17, India started the fourth phase of its lockdown, continuing the red, orange, and green zone arrangement but with a substantial easing of restrictions. While the numbers continue to increase, India's recovery rate of 39.6% is definitely good news for the healthcare sector. The lockdown has helped flatten the curve, and the gap between the daily increase in active cases and that of confirmed cases seems to be widening, keeping the daily increase in deaths as low as possible.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Release Date: May 21st, 2020

 

A Diverging Trend Raises Alarm for China’s Motor Vehicle Sales

In May 2020, a diverging trend between wholesale and retail sales of automobiles was observed in China. This is an alarming signal for the recovery of motor vehicle sales, which account for 10% of the domestic consumption. While the wholesale sales remained relatively stable, the retail sales decreased by 3% y/y in the week ending on May 17, compared to a 12% y/y rise during the week ending on April 25. 

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Release Date: May 20th, 2020

 

India begins lockdown 4.0

On May 17, India started the fourth phase of its lockdown, continuing the red, orange, and green zone arrangement but with a substantial easing of restrictions. While the numbers continue to increase, India's recovery rate of 39.6% is definitely good news for the healthcare sector. The lockdown has helped flatten the curve, and the gap between the daily increase in active cases and that of confirmed cases seems to be widening, keeping the daily increase in deaths as low as possible.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Release Date: May 19th, 2020

 

COVID-19 Cases in Russia Spreading outside of Moscow

The number of COVID-19 cases in Russia has reached 290,678 as of May 18, but the number of new cases outside of Moscow has been increasing more rapidly and has almost equalled the capital. While the reported death cases remain relatively low, at 2,722, the healthcare system in some regions might prove to be less robust in tackling the crisis.

 

 

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation

Release Date: May 18th, 2020

 

Colombia reports the highest number of daily new cases of COVID-19

The confirmed COVID-19 cases in Colombia keep increasing, with the number of daily infections reaching 723 on May 16, the highest figure since the virus started spreading in the country. That makes the total number of infected people 14,939. The COVID-19 deaths in Colombia are 562 as of May 16.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, National Institute of Health

Release Date: May 15th, 2020

 

COVID-19 Shutdown Hit the Labour Market in Australia

According to April 2020 data, more than 500,000 Australians lost their jobs during that month compared to March, causing seasonally adjusted unemployment rate to jump by 0.7pp to 6.3%. Although the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases remains relatively low, at under 7,000, the impact of the pandemic on the Australian economy is expected to be considerable.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, Australia Bureau of Statistics

Release Date: May 14th, 2020

Strong Recovery of China’s Coal Consumption in May 2020

China experienced a robust coal consumption recovery in May. It grew by 7% y/y on May 14, compared to a 12% decline on May 1, suggesting that the real economy is regaining momentum after the sharp contraction in Q1 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. CEIC introduced a new data series, with daily frequency, on China’s coal consumption, measured by the six main power plants.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Release Date: May 13th, 2020

Daily COVID-19 deaths in the US decrease to the lowest level in over a month

India has progressively increased its COVID-19 testing capacity, with 1.8mn tests conducted as of May 13, 2020. However, the testing is low compared to other nations, in terms of the number of tests conducted per million – less than 1,500 per million. States such as Kerala, which increased testing, have seen a decrease in the number of cases, suggesting that increased testing is a definite way of keeping a check on the spread of the virus.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Release Date: May 12th, 2020

The Brazilian real continues to depreciate against the US dollar

 

The Brazilian real continues to depreciate against the US dollar. On May 11, it reached 5.79 BRL per US dollar compared to 4.02 BRL per dollar on January 2. The COVID-19 outbreak unleashed massive capital outflows from emerging markets causing currencies of countries like India, Brazil and other emerging markets to depreciate against the US dollar.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Release Date: May 11th, 2020

Daily COVID-19 deaths in the US decrease to the lowest level in over a month

The daily number of COVID-19 death cases in the US decreased for a fourth day in a row on May 10, data from the Center for Disease Control Prevention show. The death cases on this particular day were 765, which is the lowest level in over a month and almost four times less than the peak reached on May 6 (2,703 deaths). The most recent figure brings the total number of death cases in the US to 73,732.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, Centre for Disease Control Prevention

Release Date: May 8th, 2020

Largest Drop in Brazil’s Industrial Production in Nearly Two Years

Brazil’s Industrial Production Index (IPI) dropped by 9.1% m/m and by 7.9% y/y in March 2020, seasonally adjusted, as many local governments adopted social distancing measures in mid-March to contain the COVID-19 outbreak. This is the largest monthly decrease since May 2018, when the truck drivers’ strike paralyzed most of the country's flow of goods. Manufacturing IPI fell by 9.9% m/m in March 2020, seasonally adjusted, pushed down by the 28% m/m contraction in motor vehicles manufacturing.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: Brazilian Central Bank, CEIC Data

Release Date: May 7th, 2020

China Declared No High or Medium Risk Areas of COVID-19

On May 7, China declared that there are no high or medium risk areas of COVID-19 in the country, as the previous day the new cases were only 2, and the new asymptomatic dropped to 6 from a peak of 137 a month earlier. This move suggests that more relaxations of the travel restriction are to be expected. Although China’s May Day holiday witnessed a marginal improvement in passenger traffic, it is still at a level, which is 50% lower than the same period in 2019.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: WHO, Ministry of Transport

Release Date: May 6th, 2020

Indonesia Registered the Highest Number of New COVID-19 Cases

The new cases in Indonesia reached 484 on May 5, 2020, which was the highest since the beginning of the outbreak. The total number of cases to date reached 12,071, of which Jakarta has the largest share of 4,439 cases, followed by West Java and East Java with 1,252 and 1,124, respectively. As of May 5, the number of deaths in Indonesia reached 872, according to data reported by the Ministry of Health.

 

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, Ministry of Health

Release Date: May 5th, 2020

Russia is Becoming a New Outbreak Point of COVID-19

The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Russia has been increasing rapidly since mid-April. With its 145,268 confirmed cases as of May 5, Russia has surpassed Turkey and Iran and is now among the world’s biggest pandemic outbreak centres.

 

 

 

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, WHO

Release Date: May 4th, 2020

Lockdown in India Officially Extended to May 17

The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in India has increased to 42,533 as of May 4, 2020, and the daily increase in cases has been greater than 2,000 since May 2, the largest ever. Total active cases are currently at 29,453, and the number of deaths at 1,373. Despite the increase, India has managed the COVID-19 situation well, especially when the density of the population is accounted for. While the lockdown has been officially extended for the third time from May 4 to May 17, there have been some relaxations in the restrictions, and the country has been divided into red, orange, and green zones so that economic activity can revive in a staggered way.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Release Date: May 1st, 2020

Eurozone Economic Sentiment Plummets in April

The Economic Sentiment Index of the Euro Area plunged to 67 in April 2020, according to data from the European Commission’s Directorate-General for Economic Affairs, dragged by the devastating effect of COVID-19 on the eurozone economy. However, the index remained marginally above its lowest value recorded during the 2008-09 financial crisis.

 

 

 

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, DG ECFIN

Release Date: April 30th, 2020

Debt Mutual Funds in India Face Increased Pressure

COVID-19 has caused disruptions across financial markets, and mutual funds are facing strong redemption pressures. In addition, Franklin Templeton’s closure of six major debt schemes on April 24 has caused investors to move from debt mutual funds to safer deposits. The Reserve Bank of India has introduced an INR 500bn special liquidity facility for mutual funds to ease redemption demands on April 27, 2020.

 

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Release Date: April 29th, 2020

Epidemic Curve in the European Union Hit a New Low

The number of new COVID-19 cases in the European Union dropped to 10,038 on April 27, the lowest levels since March 19 and more than three times lower than the peak at the beginning of April. The decline was due to the substantial downward trends in Italy and Germany observed over the past two weeks. On April 27, France had the highest number of confirmed cases with 3,764, followed by Italy and Germany with 1,739 and 1,144 cases, respectively.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control

Release Date: April 27th, 2020

China’s Cyclical Momentum Index Signals Deterioration in April

The CICC Preliminary Cyclical Momentum Index (CMI) dropped in April 2020, signalling deterioration in China’s economic activity, as the COVID-19 pandemic is spreading worldwide. The indicator fell to 81% from 84% in March 2020 and the decline is driven by sluggish external demand, lower prices and weak domestic consumption. In April 2020, the external consumption component decreased to 78% from 89% in March, the lowest level since August 2009.

 

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, Macro Research of CICC

Release Date: April 24th, 2020

Italy: Number of COVID-19 Patients in Intensive Care Continues to Decline in April

The number of coronavirus patients in intensive care (ICU) in Italy decreased to 2,384 as of April 22, or 10% of the total hospitalized patients. This was the lowest level in more than a month after the people in ICU peaked at 4,078 and have turned to a decline since then. However, the number of people in home isolation continued to increase, reaching 81,510 as of April 22.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, Ministry of Health

Release Date: April 23rd, 2020

Brazil’s Industrial Entrepreneur Confidence Deteriorates in April

The entrepreneur confidence indicator in Brazil plunged to 34.5 points in April 2020 from 60.3 in March, reaching its lowest level in 11 years. Values below 50 points indicate pessimistic sentiment. According to the National Confederation of Industry, which conducts the survey, the result can be explained by the disrupted flow of input, output and workers due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Besides, the quarantine measures reduced consumption expenditure.

 

 

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Release Date: April 22nd, 2020

China fears a second wave of COVID-19

China witnessed an increase of the new daily confirmed and suspected COVID-19 cases: 49 suspected cases on April 11, and 108 confirmed cases on April 12, suggesting an increased risk of a second outbreak. This prompted the local government in Beijing to once again close the gyms in the capital in a bid to reduce the risk. The Heilongjiang province, which borders Russia and therefore has higher exposure, cancelled most domestic flights to and from other cities in China. As of April 21, the suspected cases in China were only three, and the confirmed – 30.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Release Date: April 21st, 2020

COVID-19 Cases Surge Across India

With a total of 17,656 confirmed cases and 14,255 active cases, Monday, April 20, saw the largest single-day increase of 1540 confirmed cases in India. The states of Gujarat, and Madhya Pradesh, have emerged as the new hotspots. Kerala, on the other hand, a state that was consistently among the top three until early April has effectively controlled the number of cases from spiralling and has reduced its active cases to 129. Goa has become the first state to be completely free of COVID-19.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Release Date: April 20th, 2020

US Retail Sales Declined in March 2020

US retail sales dropped significantly in March 2020, reporting a 3.82% y/y decline, seasonally adjusted data shows. This was the sharpest drop in more than a decade. In March 2009, amidst the global financial crisis, retail sales reported an annual decrease of 12.8%. The current deterioration was largely expected, especially taking into account the record high jobless claims filed in the second half of March.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Release Date: April 17th, 2020

OPEC Oil Price Continues to Plunge

OPEC daily crude oil price fell to 17.51 USD/Barrel on April 15, amid declining global oil demand due to the COVID-19 outbreak which has affected energy-intensive sectors such as transport, tourism and manufacturing. The OPEC members and other oil-producing countries agreed to unprecedented cuts in oil production in order to halt the plummeting commodity price, which fell from about 60 to below 20 USD/Barrel in less than 3 months.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, OPEC

Release Date: April 16th, 2020

The market expectations for Brazil’s GDP in 2020 deteriorate further

The markets in Brazil revised down their expectations for the GDP growth rate in 2020 and as of April 9, they expect a 1.96% annual contraction. The focus survey is conducted by the Brazilian Central Bank among 140 entities such as financial institutions, consultancies and brokers. A week earlier, the markets forecasted a 1.18% decrease in GDP.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, Brazilian Central Bank

Release Date: April 15th, 2020

Indian Stock Market Stable at the Beginning of the Week

Indian stock markets stayed stable at the beginning of the week. The S&P Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Sensex closed at 30,690 points on April 13, while the Nifty 50 – at 8,993.85 points, both slightly lower compared to last week. Financial markets have displayed a high degree of volatility with the onset of the COVID-19 in India. However, with the announcement of the lockdown, they started recovering, albeit gradually.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Release Date: April 14th, 2020

China’s foreign trade remains subdued in March 2020

China’s exports and imports remained on a downward path in March 2020, decreasing by 6.6% y/y and 0.9% y/y, respectively. With the exports worth USD 185.1bn and the imports - USD 165.2bn, China reported USD 19.9bn trade surplus. While China is recovering domestically, the subdued foreign trade in March could be attributed to the freeze in economic activity in China’s key trading partners like Europe and the US, which are currently coping with the COVID-19 outbreak.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Release Date: April 13th, 2020

Consumer Confidence in Japan Plunges in March

The consumer confidences in Japan deteriorated substantially in March 2020 amid fears for the global economy in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. The broader index, published by the government, plunged to 31.2 from 38.3 in February. The seasonally adjusted indicator, excluding one-person households, dived even deeper down to 30.9 also from 38.3 in the previous month. 

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Release Date: April 10th, 2020

Death Cases form COVID-19 in Brazil reach 800

As of April 8, 800 people infected with COVID-19 have died in Brazil. On April 7, the figure was 667. The case fatality rate (or deaths-to-confirmed cases ratio) also reached a record of 5%, higher than the figures in China and in the US (4.02% and 2.98%, respectively, on April 7). The number of confirmed cases in Brazil has been growing faster recently to reach 15,927 people on April 8, twice as many as six days earlier.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, Ministry of Health

Release Date: April 9th, 2020

Increase of Asymptomatic Cases in China Driven by Imported Cases

On March 31, 2020, China started publishing the number of asymptomatic COVID-19 cases, who, however, are nonetheless contagious. By keeping track of them, the Chinese authorities want to address the public fears of the potential new round of the epidemic. On April 7, the new asymptomatic cases were 137 and the majority of them (102) were imported. As of April 8, China identified 2,198 asymptomatic cases, which was less than expected.

 

 

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, National Health Commission

Release Date: April 8th, 2020

Indian Rupee Stays Near Record Low against the US Dollar

The Indian rupee stayed near record lows on April 7, at an exchange rate of 75.84 rupees per US Dollar, data from the Reserve Bank of India shows.  This is close to the historic low of USD/INR 76.15 touched on March 23, 2020. The COVID-19 outbreak unleashed massive capital outflows from emerging markets and the currencies of countries like India and other emerging markets fell against the US dollar.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, Reserve Bank of India

Release Date: April 7th, 2020

Germany Reports Substantial Decline in New COVID-19 Cases

On April 6 and April 7, the number of new confirmed COVID-19 cases in Germany decreased to 3,677 and 3,834, which represented a substantial decline compared to the previous four days, when the daily new cases averaged around 6,000. The decline was mainly due to the fewer cases in the two most affected provinces - Bavaria and Baden Wuerttemberg. 

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, Rober Koch Institute

Release Date: April 6th, 2020

Number of New COVID-19 Cases in the US Declines

The number of confirmed new cases of COVID-19 in the US declined to 25,120 people on April 5, 2020, from the peak of 33,508 registered the day before, raising hope that the most affected country globally might soon flatten the epidemic curve. According to the US Center for Disease Control Prevention, the daily news cases in the two most affected cities, New York and New Jersey, decreased to 8,327 and 3,381 people, respectively.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, Center for Disease Control Prevention

Release Date: April 3rd, 2020

Spain Surpasses Italy in COVID-19 Morbidity Rate

Тhe morbidity rate in Spain, measured as confirmed cases to the estimated population, reached 2.02‰ on April 01, the world’s highest level. According to the World Health Organization data, the number of confirmed cases in Spain as of April 01 reached 94,417, the third-largest after the United States and Italy. 

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Release Date: April 2nd, 2020

The markets in Brazil expect 0.48% contraction of GDP in 2020

The markets in Brazil expect GDP contraction of 0.48% in 2020, a focused survey shows, which the Brazilian central bank regularly conducts among 140 entities, including financial institutions, consultancies and brokers. Just a week earlier, the market expectations were for a 1.48% growth.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, Brazilian Central Bank

Release Date: April 1st, 2020

South Korea’s Economic Sentiment Plummets in March

The Bank of Korea’s Economic Sentiment Index sank to 63.7 in March 2020, its lowest value since the financial crisis of 2007-08. The index which combines consumer sentiment and business confidence started dropping only in the previous month thus signifying that the outcome is unequivocally caused by the COVID-19 outbreak.

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data, Bank of Korea

Release Date: March 30th 2020

New Daily COVID-19 Cases in Italy Stabilise around 6,000

Italy, one of the countries, worst hit by COVID-19, reported 5,947 new daily cases on Sunday, March 29, WHO data shows. For the second day in a row, the figure is below 6,000 which lead to speculations whether Italy has already reached the peak of the epidemic. The death cases on Sunday (887) were also less than these on Saturday (971).

CEIC Data COVID-19 monitor

Source: CEIC Data

Key Articles on COVID-19

Opinion Article | COVID-19 Measures - Build Me a Hospital: As China is the first country to start recovering from the COVID-19 outbreak, all eyes are on the Asian giant..

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Opinion Article | The Global Impact of COVID-19 on Financial Markets: The potential scope of these severe consequences is still unclear. The markets, apparently...

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Opinion Article | COVID-19 vs China's Fiscal Policy- The Challenges: Consequently, its consolidated fiscal deficit, which includes central and local governments’...

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CEIC DATA COVERAGE OF COVID-19

Questions and answers around what datasets CEIC offers that could help with monitoring the outbreak and potential impact.

What is COVID- 19?

The World Health Organisation (WHO) defines COVID-19 (or formally, Coronavirus Disease 2019) as an infectious disease caused by the most recently discovered coronavirus. As its name implies, COVID-19 is just part of a large family of viruses that are known to affect humans, ranging from the common cold to the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) and Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS). Note that while COVID-19 is related to SARS (genetically), they are both distinct diseases. 

Which CEIC datasets can help paint a global picture of the impact of COVID-19?

CEIC Data includes various datasets on COVID-2019 in our Daily Database. We currently provide detailed statistics on COVID-19 as provided by the WHO here with additional disaggregation (by province) for occurrences in China. 

Additionally, national or local sources may release additional detailed statistics on COVID-19 outbreak specific to their countries. CEIC clients will be able to click on the links below to view datasets. 

Europe: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control

French Public Health Agency

Germany: Robert Koch Institute

Hong Kong: Centre for Health Protection

Iran: Ministry of Health and Medical Education

Italy: Ministry of Health

Japan: Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare

South Korea: Korea Centre for Disease Control and Prevention

Spain: Ministry of Health, Consumer Affairs and Social Welfare

Taiwan: Ministry of Health and Welfare

United Kingdom: Department of Health and Social Care

United States: Centre for Disease Control


We have also recently added HK daily passenger arrivals/departure by control point and by type of visitors where users can monitor the number of travellers entering Hong Kong after the government imposed border restrictions: 

Table HK.Q013: Arrivals: Passenger: By Control Point

Table HK.Q014: Arrivals: Passenger: By Visitor

Table HK.Q017: Departures: Passenger: By Control Point

Table HK.Q018: Departures: Passenger: By Visitor


What kind of CEIC datasets can we provide to help monitor the impact on tourism/ travel/ airline industries?

It may be helpful to look at travel statistics on China, at least at the early stages of the crisis given that the initial travel restrictions largely applied to China (and given its significant contribution to tourist arrivals for many countries). 

 

The following list out the major countries in concern with related tables in higher frequency. CEIC clients will be able to click on the links below to access the databases.

 

China GDB

Table CN.TA012: Beijing Capital International Airport Company Limited
Table CN.TA013: Hainan Meilan International Airport

China CNP

Table CN.TI: Air: Passenger Traffic
Table CN.TI: Air Industry Overview
Table CN.TI: Air: Passenger Turnover
Table CN.TI: Air: Freight Traffic
Table CN.TI: Air: Freight Turnover
Table CN.TI: Air: Freight Turnover: Cargo
Table CN.TI: Air: Passenger Load Factor
Table CN.TI: Air: Freight Load Factor
Table CN.TI: Air: Aircraft Daily Utilization
Table CN.TI: Airport: Passenger Throughput: Monthly
Table CN.TI: Airport: Freight Throughput: Monthly
Table CN.TI: Airport: Number of Flight Handled: Monthly

France

Table FR.TA015: Paris-Charles de Gaulle Airport
Table FR.TA016: Paris Orly Airport
Table FR.TA017: Nice Cote d’Azur Airport

Germany

Table DE.TA004: Air Transport Traffic: Passenger
Table DE.TA005: Air Transport Traffic: Passenger: Arrivals by Country
Table DE.TA006: Air Transport Traffic: Passenger: Departures by Country
Table DE.TA007: Air Transport Traffic: Passenger: Departures: Final Destination by Country
Table DE.TA008: Passenger Traffic by Airport
Table DE.TA009: Airports: Freight Handled
Table DE.TA010: Airports: Freight Handled by Airport
Table DE.TA011: Aircraft Movement
Table DE.TA012: Aircraft Movement by Airport
Table DE.TA013: Frankfurt Airport
Table DE.TA014: Munich Airport
Table DE.TA015: Air Transport: Flight Performance
Table DE.TA016: Air Transport: Passenger Carried
Table DE.TA017: Air Transport: Passenger Kilometres
Table DE.TA019: Air Transport: Capacity Utilization
Table DE.TA020: Air Transport: Freight Traffic and Others

Japan

Table JP.TA005: Airport Statistics: Narita Airport
Table JP.TA006: Airport Statistics: Kansai International Airport
Table JP.TA007: Airport Statistics: Haneda (Tokyo) International Airport
Table JP.TA008: Airlines Statistics
Table JP.TA009: Airlines Statistics: Japan Airlines Group
Table JP.TA010: Airlines Statistics: ANA Group

Spain

Table ES.TA008: Air Transportation
Table ES.TA009: Passenger Traffic at Airports
Table ES.TA010: Freight Handled at Airports
Table ES.TA011: Aircraft Movement
Table ES.TA012: Madrid Barajas Airport
Table ES.TA013: Barcelona-El Prat Airport
Table ES.TA014: Marine Transportation

Singapore

Table SG.TA013: Singapore Airlines Statistics
Table SG.TA015: Changi Airport Statistics

Thailand

Table TH.TA026: Flight and Passenger Statistics
Table TH.TA035: Regional Airport Statistics: Domestic: Northern
Table TH.TA036: Regional Airport Statistics: Domestic: Northeastern
Table TH.TA037: Regional Airport Statistics: Domestic: Southern
Table TH.TA039: Suvarnabhumi International Airport
Table TH.TA040: Don Mueang International Airport
Table TH.TA041: Chiang Mai International Airport
Table TH.TA042: Chiang Rai Airport
Table TH.TA043: Hat Yai Airport
Table TH.TA044: Phuket Airport

Taiwan

Table TW.TA008: Civil Aviation: Aircraft Movements
Table TW.TA009: Civil Aviation: Passengers Carried
Table TW.TA011: Civil Aviation: Freight Carried
Table TW.TA010: Civil Aviation: Number of Available Seats and Passenger Load Factor

South Korea

Table KR.TA006: Air Traffic Movements
Table KR.TA007: Air Transport Statistics: Flight Performance
Table KR.TA008: Air Transport Statistics: Passenger Carried
Table KR.TA009: Air Transport Statistics: Passenger Kilometers
Table KR.TA011: Air Transport Statistics: Capacity Utilization
Table KR.TA012: Air Transport Statistics: Freight Handled
Table KR.TA013: Air Transport Statistics: Freight Ton Kilometers

UK

Table UK.TA008: Airline Statistics
Table UK.TA005: Aircraft Movement: by Airport

USA

Table US.TA009: Air Traffic Statistics
Table US.TA012: Airport Statistics: Atlantic City International Airport
Table US.TA013: Airport Statistics: Dallas Fort Worth International Airport
Table US.TA014: Airport Statistics: Denver International Airport
Table US.TA015: Airport Statistics: Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport
Table US.TA016: Airport Statistics: John F. Kennedy International Airport
Table US.TA017: Airport Statistics: LaGuardia Airport
Table US.TA018: Airport Statistics: Los Angeles International Airport
Table US.TA019: Airport Statistics: Midway Airport
Table US.TA020: Airport Statistics: Newark Liberty International Airport
Table US.TA021: Airport Statistics: O'Hare International Airport
Table US.TA022: Airport Statistics: Ontario International Airport
Table US.TA023: Airport Statistics: Stewart International Airport

Hong Kong

Table HK.Q013: Arrivals: Passenger: By Control Point

Table HK.Q014: Arrivals: Passenger: By Visitor

Table HK.Q017: Departures: Passenger: By Control Point

Table HK.Q018: Departures: Passenger: By Visitor

What kind of datasets can we provide to help monitor the impact on the financial market? What can the equity markets tell us?

Equity indices, in particular, tend to move relatively quickly in response to daily news items, including the COVID-19 outbreak. There is a general consensus that COVID-19 was one of the major contributory factors (along with the OPEC price wars) to the dramatic decline in financial indices on the so-called “2020 Black Monday” (9Mar20) and its continued decline on Thursday (12Mar20).

 

The choice of which equity index for evaluating, however, depends on the scope and the requirements of the users. For global indices, our 'S&P Global Index' offers a broad overview of the impact of COVID-19 on the equity index. Other national equity indices are likely to be more useful for country-specific analysis, again depending on the scope and the user’s requirements.

Does this suggest that the COVID-19 is largely responsible for the changes in the equity indices?

Bear in mind that there are various factors, including seasonality, which may affect the trajectory of equity indices. In addition to the COVID-19 outbreak, there were other major international events that were coincident with the outbreak including, but not limited to: -

  • The formal withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union (into a transitional period);
  • Bushfires affecting Australia;
  • Escalating tensions in the Middle East, this time partially sparked by the assassination of an Iranian general by the US, leading to Iran’s subsequent retaliation against a US base;
  • Argentina’s declaration of non-repayment of its IMF debt until its economy exits its recession;
  • The collapse of dialogue between OPEC and Russia, triggering a freefall in oil prices

Additionally, local news may have varying implications for certain country-specific analysis,

These events may have differing magnitude (and direction) on the equity indices. While it is likely that COVID-19 is a major factor in these movements, it is worth noting that equity indices are typically affected by a constellation of factors, rather than any one factors.

What about the bond markets?

Our yields of government securities (Treasury Notes and Bills) dataset is frequently evaluated for clues on what lies ahead for the economy. Similar to the equity indices, treasury yields often reflects the financial market's assessment of risk. However, the yields of different maturities can help users clue in on the short term, medium term, long term, and very long term trajectory of the economy. Higher short term yields over long term yields are often perceived as a red flag, possibly signalling a recession.

In light of the COVID-19, treasury yields, and likely other bond yields, are likely to see downward pressure, particularly for shorter maturities as short-term risks weigh. Matching these daily yields to the day-by-day progression of COVID-19, for example, can offer users clues on the severity of its impact on the yield curve. However, as with equity indices, movements in yields should not be attributed to any one factor(s), especially depending on idiosyncratic-factors specific to a country.

While there are some academic debates on the predictive powers of Treasury yields (especially as central banks become more assertive in their monetary policy intervention), the magnitude (and shape) of these shifts continue to be a consideration for some analysts within the industry.

How are commodity prices likely to be affected by COVID-19?

We host separate sector-level data which can be found in our  World Trend Plus Database for the commodity market.

 

With some exception, COVID-19 is likely to have a negative impact on commodity prices from softer demand, especially in light of news suggesting the suspension of production to help isolate COVID-19. This is expected to impact mainly raw materials (minerals and non-minerals) and energy prices, with a relatively smaller impact on food-produces in the agricultural sector.

 

As noted earlier, it is worth repeating that the COVID-19 also coincided with a breakdown in talks between Saudi Arabia-led OPEC with Russia – with OPEC’s 2017-2020 scheduled to expire in Mar20 and higher oil production expected for Apr20, it is likely that the worse may have yet to come for oil prices if production indeed ramps up and further price cuts are announced. In tandem with softer demand from COVID-19, it would be prudent to anticipate these supply-based factors to further weigh down against oil prices. The eventual impact of the twin COVID-19 and OPEC Price War is outside the scope of this explainer but depending on the extent of escalation/de-escalation, expect some downward impact on the fiscal balances of oil-rich countries (many of these countries have a fiscal breakeven point for oil prices to balance its books), investments in oil and gas (O&G) sectors (especially the higher-cost producers, such as the shale oil producers), among others.

 

Are there any exceptions to the downward pressure on commodity prices?

As noted earlier, agriculture food prices may be somewhat more insulated from the COVID-19’s impact, though the situation remains fluid, especially if there are unanticipated shortages and/or cases of further escalation in COVID‑19 outbreak.

 

This is not to say that the downward pressure in commodity prices is expected to be consistent across the board. On the contrary, gold (and to a much smaller extent, other precious metals) tend to buck this trend. Gold has traditionally been viewed as a safe haven asset of sorts (despite having some practical applications as raw materials in certain production processes) as gold prices tend to increase during periods of uncertainties/high risk.

Can foreign exchange be used similarly to gauge the impact of COVID-19?

The relationship of short-term foreign exchange (FOREX) and the underlying economy is somewhat more tenuous. While there are linkages of the long-term FOREX trajectory and the underlying economy, short term FOREX is less likely to reflect fundamentals and more likely to reflect sentiments. However, unlike the various asset classes, short-term FOREX tends to be less tied to the real economy and affected by too many non-fundamental factors – it is sometimes debatable among portfolio management circles on whether FOREX should be treated as an asset class in its own right.

 

This is further complicated by the basis for comparison. Conventionally, FOREX is evaluated in the context of currency pairs (i.e. the market value of a currency relative to base currency). While some usages favour comparison with the US Dollar (USD), with over 500 confirmed cases reported in the US as at 11Mar20, it is dubious if one could come to a meaningful conclusion with a USD currency. Similarly, with COVID-19 seeing a significant impact in the Euro Area (most prominently Italy but with a significant presence in France and Germany), Japan (over 500 cases as at 11Mar20), among others, finding the right currency pairs may be challenging, in the first place.

 

However, oddly, the data suggests that Swiss Franc continue to maintain its status of a safe haven currency of sorts (probably due to historical reasons). Despite reporting around 490 cases as at 11Mar20, Swiss Franc has maintained relative stability, notwithstanding incidences of COVID-19 in the country.

How can our China Premium Database help you monitor COVID-19?

What type of data is being offered to monitor the overall Coronavirus status in Mainland China? China Premium has published the number of Patient / Death / Recovered of COVID-19 with a breakdown by provinces, as well as imported confirmed cases and asymptomatic infection statistics from the National and Local Health Commission. This data helps to monitor the trend and the latest status of the new coronavirus both nationally and provincially, and to further understand the effects and risks hidden behind the outbreak on a daily basis.


Does China Premium cover any China city level coronavirus related statistics?  China premium had added COVID-19 Confirmed Case/No. of Death/No. of Recovered of 17 cities/regions in Hubei province, including Wuhan city. The city-level coronavirus statistics help clients to monitor the most updated status of the COVID-19 situation within Hubei Province.


Valuable high-frequency datasets examples that can help you monitor COVID-19


Socio-Demographic (Daily) – COVID-19 daily data containing No. of Patient/Death/Recovered.
Client Access to Table CN.GZ: COVID-19: No of Patient
Client Access to Table CN.GZ: COVID-19: No of Death
Client Access to Table CN.GZ: COVID-19: No of Recovered


Inflation (Daily/ Weekly) - Agricultural product wholesale price containing the daily/weekly updates of Pork/Beef/Egg/Lettuce etc.

Client Access to Table CN.IC: Agricultural Product Price Index: Wholesale: Daily

Client Access to Table CN.IC: Agricultural Product Price Index: Wholesale: Weekly


Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange rate (Daily) - Update of the treasury bond yield from CCDC.

Client Access to Table CN.MF: CCDC: Treasury Bond Yield: Daily


Financial Market (Daily) - Daily turnover / open position/settlement price of the commodity exchange market.

Client Access to Table CN.ZB: Dalian Commodity Exchange: Commodity Futures: Turnover: Daily


Real Estate (Daily/ Weekly) - Regional daily property transaction and Weekly land transaction price in Real Estate Sector.

Client Access to Real Estate: City Property Daily Transaction (Reference Data)

Client Access to Table CN.RKT: China Index Academy (Soufun): Land Transaction Price: Residential: Weekly


Energy Sector (Daily) - Coal inventory daily data of different ports in China.

Client Access to Table CN.RBT: Umetal: Coal Inventory


Business and Economic Survey (Daily) - Financial condition index from Yicai Research.

Client Access to Table CN.OTA: Yicai Research Institute: China Financial Condition Index (CFCI)


Price (Weekly) - Weekly steel prices including Whorl Steel/Angle Steel, etc.

Client Access to Table CN.PG: Steel Price: Weekly


How can our Russia Premium Database help you monitor COVID-19?

What type of data is being offered to monitor the overall Coronavirus status in Russia Premium?

Russia Premium plans to include timely and accurate Coronavirus statistics published by the Ministry of Health of Russia, which is the primary local data source. The datasets will allow you to the number of people infected, recovered and dead as well as the number of people tested on a national level. This data helps to monitor the coronavirus latest status and to estimate further development of the pandemic within Russia. The datasets will be used by economists in forecasting near term economic consequences for the Russian economy.


Does Russia Premium cover any Russian city level coronavirus related statistics? 

The data also includes regional statistics of the infected people, which allows you to identify the key regions at risk of further contamination. There is also data available for the two federal cities, Moscow and Saint Petersburg.



Valuable high-frequency dataset examples in Russia Premium that can help you monitor COVID-19 economic effects


Monetary Section

Inflation (Daily/ Weekly) – Weekly Inflation Estimates provided by Federal State Statistics Service

Client Access to Table RU.IA007: Consumer Price Index: Weekly Estimate


Monetary Statistics in Daily Frequency

Client Access to Table RU.DM001: Monetary Base and International Reserves: Bank of Russia

Client Access to Table RU.DM002: Foreign Currencies Operations: Bank of Russia

Client Access to Table RU.DM003: Secured Loans Debt: Bank of Russia: by Maturity

Client Access to Table RU.DM004: Secured Loans Debt: Bank of Russia: by Type

Client Access to Table RU.DM005: Budgetary Funds Allotment on Commercial Banks Deposits: Federal Treasury

Client Access to Table RU.DM006: Budgetary Funds Allotment on REPO Operations: Federal Treasury

Client Access to Table RU.DM007: Liquidity Indicators: Banks Deposit with Bank of Russia

Client Access to Table RU.DM008: Liquidity Indicators: Banks Correspondent Account Balances with Bank of Russia

Client Access to Table RU.DM009: Liquidity Indicators: Intraday Loans Extended by Bank of Russia

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UPCOMING COVID-19 WEBINAR 

Assessing the Impact of COVID-19 on Brazil’s Key Industries

 

What will this webinar cover?

 

This ISI webinar sheds light on the impact of COVID-19 on the major industries of Brazil. Using our proprietary Trend Deviation Index (TDI), we have assessed the impact of the pandemic on 14 key industries in Brazil: Automotive, Agriculture, Banking & Insurance, Chemicals, Consumer Electronics, Consumer Goods & Retail Energy, Food & Beverage, Mining & Metals, Pharma & Healthcare, Real Estate & Construction, Technology, Media & Telecoms, Tourism & Leisure, Transportation.

Based on the time and magnitude of the COVID-19 impact, we have classified the industries into four groups and provided an outlook for each one of them:

  • Early Impact – industries that have been hit during the early stages of the pandemic;
  • Delayed Impact – industries that are now bracing to face the negative consequences of the pandemic;
  • Hardest Hit – industries that are increasingly bearing the brunt of the COVID-19 impact;
  • Most Resilient – industries that are expected to weather the storm relatively easily.

SPEAKERS:

  • Adriano Morais - Research Economist for Brazil
  • Svetoslav Mladenov - Regional Editor for Latin America

DURATION: 40 mins with time for Q&A

WATCH PREVIOUS COVID-19 WEBINARS

LATEST NEWS ON COVID-19

Get the latest updates on the outbreak

ISI Emerging Markets Group incorporates CEIC and EMIS. Our sister company EMIS publishes daily news stories covering the outbreak of COVID-19. 

 

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Founded in 1992 by a team of expert economists and analysts, CEIC Data provides the most expansive and accurate data insights into more than 200 economies. With analysts on the ground in more than 18 countries, we are the service of choice for economic and investment research by economists, analysts, investors, corporations, and universities around the world.

 

CEIC allows you access to thousands of sources and more than 5.5 million time-series through an easy to use platform that integrates directly with your workflow.
 
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